Hércules vs Mataró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RCD
0 - 1
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
HER
2 - 2
FCB
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
HER
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
HER
2 - 0
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
38%
29%
32%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mataró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CEM
1 - 0
CAS
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
FIG
2 - 1
CEM
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CEM
4 - 0
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
CEM
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CEM
1 - 2
MLL
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |