Hércules vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
LIN
0 - 2
HER
29%
30%
42%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
TAL
1 - 3
HER
26%
26%
49%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
HER
4 - 1
UNI
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
HER
27%
30%
44%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
HER
1 - 0
TAL
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 1
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
ILI
0 - 4
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAL
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
MAN
0 - 1
IMP
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
LIN
1 - 1
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |