Hércules vs Mallorca B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
14º
8º
29
9º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 46 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
45% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
87.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
40% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
17º
|
40% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
IBI
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAG
2 - 3
HER
31%
29%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALZ
0 - 0
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HER
3 - 1
ZAR
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
OLO
1 - 1
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALZ
2 - 0
MLL
49%
27%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MLL
1 - 1
ZAR
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
OLO
0 - 0
MLL
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MLL
2 - 1
LLE
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TER
1 - 0
MLL
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |