Hércules vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
POL
0 - 0
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
HER
3 - 0
GIM
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
EIB
0 - 3
HER
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
CEL
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
HER
2 - 2
ATH
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 1
MAL
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 1
CEL
42%
28%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RSO
2 - 0
MAL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
MAL
4 - 2
RCF
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 0
RAC
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |