Hércules vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
OSA
0 - 0
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
HER
2 - 0
CDB
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
LEG
2 - 2
HER
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
HER
0 - 0
MER
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
REC
1 - 0
HER
35%
30%
34%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
MAL
3 - 2
LOG
47%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
OSA
1 - 0
MAL
54%
27%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
VAD
3 - 2
MAL
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
MAL
1 - 3
RAY
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
CDB
2 - 0
MAL
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |