Hércules vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
ALC
37%
27%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAB
2 - 1
HER
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
CCF
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 1
ALA
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUG
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 2
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 0
PON
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |