Hércules vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
HER
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 2
HER
36%
30%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
REC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAB
0 - 1
LUG
58%
25%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 2
RMC
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
LUG
80%
15%
5%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |