Hércules vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
EIB
0 - 1
HER
55%
27%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
VAD
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
HER
0 - 3
XER
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 1
HER
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 1
XER
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 0
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LOR
3 - 2
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 0
LOR
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 1
RMC
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |