Hércules vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
MLL
4 - 2
HER
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
HER
3 - 4
GRA
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
SAB
1 - 1
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HER
0 - 1
LLE
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
VIJ
0 - 0
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAS
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
FIG
1 - 2
LOR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 2
PAL
65%
20%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MLL
1 - 1
LOR
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |