Hércules vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
CAR
4 - 0
HER
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
LOR
5 - 1
IMP
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |