Hércules vs Lleida CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAD
0 - 0
HER
23%
30%
47%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HER
5 - 0
ELD
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
HER
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
SMR
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
HER
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LLE
2 - 1
SAG
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
LLE
2 - 1
HOS
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 1
LLE
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LLE
1 - 1
RCD
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 1
LLE
16%
28%
56%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |