Hércules vs Som Maresme FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
14º
8º
44
1º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 46 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
45% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
87.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
40% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
17º
|
40% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MLL
0 - 0
HER
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UCA
3 - 1
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 0
HER
18%
25%
57%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
HER
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Som Maresme FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 0
ALZ
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SMR
0 - 1
EUR
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
COR
1 - 3
SMR
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PER
0 - 0
SMR
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
SMR
14%
24%
62%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |