Hércules vs Som Maresme FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ORI
1 - 0
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAB
1 - 2
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 3
LEV
57%
25%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
56%
24%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
PRA
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Som Maresme FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SMR
1 - 3
LEV
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
4 - 1
SMR
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SMR
1 - 1
PRA
68%
21%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EJE
1 - 0
SMR
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
SMR
0 - 0
GIM
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |