Hércules vs Som Maresme FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
HER
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAB
1 - 0
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
AND
0 - 5
HER
12%
23%
65%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 3
FCB
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GAV
0 - 4
HER
17%
27%
56%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Som Maresme FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 1
SMR
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SMR
2 - 0
SAG
79%
16%
5%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 0
SMR
18%
27%
55%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SMR
1 - 1
RCD
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 2
REU
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |