Hércules vs Jerez FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
HER
3 - 0
ELC
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
MAL
4 - 1
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
HER
2 - 0
CAD
74%
15%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
HER
1 - 1
SDC
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ALC
2 - 0
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ALC
4 - 0
JFC
51%
21%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
JFC
3 - 0
MUR
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
SDC
4 - 2
JFC
68%
17%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 1
JFC
42%
23%
36%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
JFC
4 - 3
MAL
62%
20%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |