Hércules vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
3 - 0
HER
52%
21%
28%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
HER
5 - 3
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GIR
2 - 0
HER
24%
23%
54%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
HER
4 - 2
LEV
49%
21%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
BAD
3 - 4
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 2
VAL
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 0
GRA
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
GRA
3 - 0
RAC
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
RCF
1 - 1
GRA
58%
19%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
BAR
5 - 1
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |