Hércules vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAR
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 1
HER
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
RSO
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LEV
0 - 2
HER
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
RAY
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
GIR
1 - 1
RAY
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CCF
2 - 0
GIR
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GIR
0 - 1
SLA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 1
GIR
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
GIR
3 - 0
ALI
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |