Hércules vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
YEC
2 - 2
HER
36%
29%
34%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
GIM
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CEM
0 - 1
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
RCD
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
GIR
1 - 1
CAS
39%
29%
33%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
FIG
2 - 1
GIR
60%
23%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GIR
6 - 0
PAL
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 1
GIR
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
GIR
2 - 1
MLL
30%
26%
45%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |