Hércules vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LEV
1 - 1
HER
59%
18%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
HER
2 - 1
BAD
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
HER
3 - 2
CDS
87%
8%
4%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
RSO
9 - 2
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
MUR
5 - 1
HER
42%
22%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
57%
21%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIR
78%
13%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
SAB
2 - 4
GIR
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
GIR
4 - 0
RAC
39%
21%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
GIR
0 - 1
GRA
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |