Hércules vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HER
5 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
SAB
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 1
HER
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
REC
1 - 0
HER
37%
30%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
GIM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 1
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HUE
0 - 0
GIM
51%
27%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 1
XER
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
GIM
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |