Hércules vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 0
HER
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
HER
3 - 0
GIR
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
XER
3 - 0
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
HER
8 - 0
SEV
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 3
HER
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
3 - 0
MUR
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ZAR
1 - 0
GIM
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
0 - 0
UDL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
RSO
0 - 0
GIM
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 0
LEV
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |