Hércules vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
BAR
6 - 2
HER
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
HER
3 - 2
RCF
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
RCD
2 - 0
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
GIM
4 - 3
LEV
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
MLL
3 - 0
GIM
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
GIM
4 - 3
BET
66%
17%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
RSO
3 - 2
GIM
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
GIM
4 - 2
ALC
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |