Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-5
Hércules vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
34%
23%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 2
HER
75%
14%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
HER
0 - 0
FCB
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
OVI
2 - 0
HER
76%
14%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
GIM
6 - 0
ZAR
56%
21%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
RCD
0 - 1
GIM
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
GIM
2 - 4
RSO
41%
23%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
JFC
4 - 1
GIM
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
GIM
0 - 1
SAB
41%
22%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |