Hércules vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RSO
1 - 3
HER
47%
29%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HER
0 - 4
OSA
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RMA
2 - 0
HER
91%
7%
2%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
ALM
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
RAC
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 0
ESP
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 0
DEP
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 0
ESP
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
MLL
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |