Hércules vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 1
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SEV
1 - 1
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 1
HER
84%
10%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 0
ZAR
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
BET
2 - 0
ESP
44%
22%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 0
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 3
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |