Hércules vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
GIR
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAR
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 1
HER
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
RSO
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ELC
1 - 1
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
ELC
1 - 1
CDT
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
ELC
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ELC
2 - 2
HUE
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ELC
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |