Hércules vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
HER
1 - 2
SEV
62%
24%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
ATH
2 - 0
HER
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
UDL
0 - 0
HER
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
MAL
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
POL
0 - 0
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 0
ELC
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
BET
3 - 0
ELC
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
ELC
2 - 1
POL
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
EIB
2 - 1
ELC
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
ELC
1 - 1
BET
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |