Hércules vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
ESP
3 - 0
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1977 |
HER
2 - 0
VCF
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
HER
2 - 0
RSO
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
CEL
2 - 2
HER
48%
29%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
VCF
1 - 0
HER
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
ELC
0 - 0
FCB
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1977 |
ATH
4 - 0
ELC
74%
15%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
ATH
1 - 1
ELC
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
ELC
1 - 0
SLA
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
ELC
1 - 0
ATH
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |