Hércules vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
HER
7 - 2
GIM
85%
9%
5%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
ELC
2 - 3
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
HER
6 - 0
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
HER
3 - 2
ELC
62%
19%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
IMP
0 - 2
HER
28%
22%
50%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
LEV
3 - 3
ELC
33%
23%
44%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
ELC
2 - 3
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
GIM
2 - 1
ELC
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1932 |
HER
3 - 2
ELC
62%
19%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
ELC
1 - 2
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |