Hércules vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
25.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CIU
2 - 1
HER
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
UDL
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
HER
61%
23%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
NUM
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
ZAR
2 - 0
HER
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
POL
0 - 2
CAS
55%
26%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CAD
0 - 0
POL
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
POL
1 - 2
ALM
45%
28%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 1
POL
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
POL
4 - 2
CDT
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |