Hércules vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
CDT
0 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
HER
2 - 1
LEV
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
EXT
1 - 0
HER
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1960 |
HER
3 - 2
BAS
61%
19%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
CEU
0 - 3
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
CAS
2 - 1
SFE
32%
26%
43%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SFE
0 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
UDL
2 - 0
SFE
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
SFE
2 - 0
EXT
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SFE
0 - 0
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |