Hércules vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
LEV
4 - 1
HER
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
HER
4 - 0
CDB
74%
16%
11%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
BET
3 - 0
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
HER
1 - 1
MAL
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
HER
3 - 1
ALI
79%
13%
8%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
XER
0 - 0
SFE
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
CDT
2 - 0
SFE
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
SFE
2 - 2
LEV
69%
17%
15%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
SFE
2 - 1
CDB
70%
17%
14%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1958 |
BET
3 - 0
SFE
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |