Hércules vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAD
2 - 2
HER
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HER
4 - 2
VIL
74%
17%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BET
1 - 1
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 0
RUN
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 0
CCF
58%
25%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LEV
1 - 0
CEL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 0
SLA
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NUM
0 - 0
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATM
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |