Hércules vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
RAC
0 - 2
HER
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
ALB
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
HER
1 - 0
BUR
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
REC
1 - 2
CEL
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
CEL
3 - 2
BUR
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
ATH
3 - 1
CEL
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
CEL
3 - 0
CEL
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 2
UDL
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |