Hércules vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
CDC
4 - 1
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 2
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
HER
4 - 0
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
PUL
4 - 5
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
MLL
4 - 1
HER
58%
21%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
CEL
4 - 2
AVI
88%
8%
4%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
CEL
2 - 1
RMA
41%
22%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
SEV
4 - 2
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
CEL
3 - 0
SPO
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
CEL
3 - 0
RSO
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |