Hércules vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
ESP
2 - 0
HER
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
ATM
5 - 1
HER
76%
14%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
HER
0 - 1
CAS
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
OVI
2 - 0
HER
64%
16%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
HER
1 - 0
SEV
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 2
CAS
75%
13%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
OVI
2 - 1
CEL
65%
17%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEV
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
DEP
4 - 0
CEL
42%
21%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCB
54%
20%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |