Hércules vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
6 - 0
HER
69%
16%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
HER
3 - 2
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
7 - 1
HER
71%
16%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
HER
1 - 0
SEV
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAR
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 4
FCB
41%
21%
38%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ATH
4 - 1
CEL
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 2
RMA
38%
23%
39%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
MUR
3 - 0
CEL
38%
23%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |