Hércules vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ESP
3 - 3
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
HER
3 - 1
RAC
46%
21%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
RMA
30%
23%
47%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 1936 |
RMA
7 - 0
HER
83%
11%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1936 |
HER
3 - 0
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
CEL
1 - 2
FCB
45%
21%
34%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
ZAR
3 - 2
CEL
57%
20%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
CEL
4 - 1
ATH
35%
21%
44%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | +4 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
ATH
6 - 0
CEL
88%
7%
4%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
CEL
5 - 0
JFC
78%
12%
10%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |