Hércules vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
HER
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
AGU
73%
19%
8%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
HER
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CSP
2 - 1
HER
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 1
ELD
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NUC
2 - 0
CDT
69%
21%
10%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 1
CDE
24%
26%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LEV
0 - 2
CDT
73%
19%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 1
PUL
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |