Hércules vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ALB
3 - 1
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
HER
1 - 2
FCB
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
MAL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
OSA
0 - 0
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
HER
2 - 0
CDB
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
CDT
1 - 4
OSA
56%
26%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
CDB
0 - 1
CDT
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
CDT
3 - 3
LEG
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
MER
1 - 1
CDT
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
CDT
1 - 0
REC
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |