Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
CON
1 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
HER
4 - 1
CAD
67%
18%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
HER
0 - 1
CEL
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
HER
2 - 1
CEU
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
MAL
0 - 2
REC
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
MLL
1 - 1
MAL
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
PON
1 - 0
MAL
68%
18%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
MAL
3 - 0
ALG
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
PUE
0 - 1
MAL
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |