Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
HER
2 - 0
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MEL
2 - 0
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
UDE
2 - 1
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
HER
3 - 0
CDT
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
HER
1 - 2
UDL
63%
20%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
5 - 0
MUR
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
1 - 2
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
CDB
1 - 1
MAL
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
MAL
3 - 0
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MAL
3 - 1
MLL
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |