Hércules vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
LEV
0 - 2
HER
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
HER
2 - 0
MLL
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
BET
2 - 0
HER
48%
22%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
HER
4 - 1
RSO
43%
23%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
MAL
1 - 1
LEV
50%
22%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
MLL
2 - 0
MAL
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
MAL
1 - 0
BET
45%
24%
32%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
RSO
2 - 0
MAL
82%
12%
7%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
MAL
2 - 2
ALC
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |