Hércules vs CD Lorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
CFC
1 - 1
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
HER
6 - 0
VIJ
90%
7%
3%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
IMP
1 - 1
HER
37%
23%
40%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
HER
2 - 1
ALB
86%
9%
5%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
ESP
1 - 0
HER
80%
13%
8%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
LOR
0 - 1
RAY
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
ELD
2 - 1
LOR
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CFC
4 - 1
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
LOR
5 - 1
VIJ
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
NOV
2 - 5
LOR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |