Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
OLO
0 - 0
HER
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LLE
0 - 1
HER
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
BAD
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 0
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
HER
0 - 1
LEV
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
LLE
22%
29%
49%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 0
CAS
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAL
21%
26%
54%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LEV
0 - 0
CAS
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
COR
22%
27%
51%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |