Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 0
RUN
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RAY
4 - 4
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
OSA
1 - 0
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
OSA
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CCF
0 - 0
CAS
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
SLA
1 - 1
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 0
LEV
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 1
NUM
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
HUE
2 - 0
CAS
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |