Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GIR
1 - 0
HER
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
VAD
2 - 2
HER
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
XER
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SEV
1 - 2
HER
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 5
VAD
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 0
MUR
40%
29%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
BET
2 - 0
CAS
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 1
UDL
46%
28%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 2
BET
27%
30%
43%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |