Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 0
HER
67%
20%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
RMC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 1
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
REC
1 - 0
HER
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
GIM
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CAS
3 - 2
XER
20%
28%
52%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 1
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 3
LLE
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ALM
2 - 1
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CAS
3 - 1
RMC
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |