Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
FIG
0 - 0
HER
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 1
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
HER
0 - 1
LOR
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
MLL
4 - 2
HER
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
HER
3 - 4
GRA
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAS
2 - 3
VAL
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
FIG
0 - 1
CAS
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAS
3 - 0
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAS
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CAS
1 - 0
MLL
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |