Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
26.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
RAC
1 - 0
HER
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
HER
0 - 1
ELC
38%
30%
31%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1972 |
HER
2 - 0
BET
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
OVI
1 - 0
HER
64%
24%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
HER
1 - 3
RAY
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
CAS
1 - 1
RCF
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
UPL
2 - 0
CAS
34%
33%
33%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
CAS
1 - 0
UES
62%
24%
14%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAS
40%
31%
30%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
CAS
3 - 0
XER
73%
19%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |